ARE WE HEADED FOR A GLOBAL RECESSION IN 2022?

An unmistakably audible sigh of relief was heaved across the world last week when, for the first time since the beginning of the Russia-Ukrainian conflict, global oil prices fell back below $100 amid ceasefire talks between Russia and Ukraine. This comes after a month of heightened anxiety over the rising oil prices driven by the Russia-Ukrainian conflict which saw per barrel oil prices surge close to record levels of about $146 per barrel set in 2008, propelled majorly by concerns over supply disruption and the impact of economic sanctions by the West on pugilistic Russia. Already, morbid fear was starting to grip the world amid speculation that the US and British bans on Russian oil imports- and pressure on Europe to follow suit were likely to prompt a supply shock equivalent to the 1979 oil crisis, which led to a severe global recession. To really understand this, we have to put the 1979 oil crisis into context. In January of 1978, Iranian youth, students and recent immi...